Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.43% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 7.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (11.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.