Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Ganso 7' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 65' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 65' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 76' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 86' yellowcard
  • Guga 86' yellowcard
  • Guga 87' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 87' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro 7'
  • goal Pedro 51'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  67'
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 73'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 73'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araújo 81'
  • yellowcard Danilo 81'

Fluminense vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Coritiba 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
Flamengo 3 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 43.09% (-0.04)
Draw 27.36% (+0.01)
Flamengo 29.55% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.16% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.84% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.78% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 53.22% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 25.04% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.96% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.34% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.66% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 31.23%
Draw 43.32%
Flamengo 25.45%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 49.03%
No Goal 8.24%
Flamengo 42.73%

Corners

Over 8 51.53% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 36.35% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.77% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 48.47% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 29.3% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.7% (-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 40.02% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.98% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.66% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.51% (-0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 35.6% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 29.37% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.63% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.96% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 90.04% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fluminense 43.09%
Draw 27.37%
Flamengo 29.55%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.41% (-0.01)
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.03)
Total : 27.37%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.55%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 20, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Bruno Henrique 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 45'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 45'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 50'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 50'
  • goal Jhon Arias 60'
  • goal Jhon Arias 60'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Ganso 71'
  • yellowcard Ganso 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Fernando Diniz 0' redcard
  • Ganso 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Terans 80' yellowcard
  • Fernando Diniz 89' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 90'+1' redcard
  • yellowcard David Luiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Leo Ortiz 63'
  • goal Pedro 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 11, 2023 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 45'+2' goal
  • Erick Pulgar 66' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 22'
  • yellowcard Ganso 35'
  • goal Yony Gonzalez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 81'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 90'+4'
  • redcard Nino 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho