Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Coritiba 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
Flamengo 3 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Flamengo has a probability of 29.52% and a draw has a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).

Result

Fluminense 43.13% (-1.79)
Draw 27.35% (+0.24)
Flamengo 29.52% (+1.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.3% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.84% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 46.69%
Under 2.5 53.31%
Over 3.5 25% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 75% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 13.33% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 86.67% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 31.23% (-1.57)
Draw 43.32% (+0.79)
Flamengo 25.45% (+0.79)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 49.02% (-1.46)
No Goal 8.25% (+0.09)
Flamengo 42.73% (+1.38)

Corners

Over 8 51.51% (-0.92)
Equal 8 12.12% (-0.17)
Under 8 36.37% (+1.08)
Over 9 39.74% (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.25)
Under 9 48.49% (+0.92)
Over 10.5 29.27% (-0.43)
Under 10.5 70.73% (+0.43)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 40.02% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 59.98% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 16.33% (-0.82)
Under 2.5 83.67% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+0.22)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 64.37% (+1.31)
Under 0.5 35.63% (-1.30)
Over 1.5 29.3% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 70.7% (-1.43)
Over 2.5 9.9% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 90.1% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 2.73% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 97.27% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Fluminense 43.13%
Draw 27.36%
Flamengo 29.53%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 11% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.40)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.40)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 5.42% (-0.21)
Total : 43.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.03)
Total : 27.36%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 8.61% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.07% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 4.88% (+0.39)
1-3 @ 2.59% (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.67% (+0.30)
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 20, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Bruno Henrique 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 45'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 45'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 50'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 50'
  • goal Jhon Arias 60'
  • goal Jhon Arias 60'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Ganso 71'
  • yellowcard Ganso 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Fernando Diniz 0' redcard
  • Ganso 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Terans 80' yellowcard
  • Fernando Diniz 89' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 90'+1' redcard
  • yellowcard David Luiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Leo Ortiz 63'
  • goal Pedro 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 11, 2023 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 45'+2' goal
  • Erick Pulgar 66' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 22'
  • yellowcard Ganso 35'
  • goal Yony Gonzalez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 81'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 90'+4'
  • redcard Nino 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho