Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.61% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.