Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • David Duarte 14' goal
  • Victor Luís 41' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaça 46' yellowcard
  • Shaylon 60' yellowcard
  • Alesson 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pires 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gilberto 46'
  • yellowcard Ademir 60'
  • yellowcard Willian José  60'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Luciano Juba 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 80'
  • goal Mateo Sanabria 89'

Mirassol vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 12.00am
Mirassol 0 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 46.22% (-0.04)
Draw 26.76%
Bahia 27.02% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 27.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.87% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.09%
Over 3.5 24.7%
Under 3.5 75.3%
Over 4.5 13.13% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.87% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 33.66%
Draw 44.13%
Bahia 22.2%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 53.26%
No Goal 7.99%
Bahia 38.75%

Corners

Over 8 65.71% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.68%
Under 8 23.61% (-0.04)
Over 9 54.09% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 34.29% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 42.56% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 57.44% (-0.02)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 42.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.37% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.86% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.14% (+0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 62.28% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.72% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.2% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.84% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mirassol 46.23%
Draw 26.76%
Bahia 27.02%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 5.75% (-0.01)
Total : 46.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.76%
Bahia
0-1 @ 8.21% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16% (+0.02)
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Erick da Costa Farias 40' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 67' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel 17'
  • yellowcard Clayson 42'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Carroll Santana 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Roni 65'
  • goal Iury Castilho 71'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 71'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'+5'