Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 12.00am
Mirassol 0 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Bahia has a probability of 26.98% and a draw has a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Bahia win is 0-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result

Mirassol 46.25% (+1.50)
Draw 26.76% (-0.47)
Bahia 26.98% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.05% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 27.95% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 46.91% (+0.87)
Under 2.5 53.09% (-0.87)
Over 3.5 24.7% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 75.3% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 13.12% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 86.88% (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 33.66% (+0.41)
Draw 44.13% (-0.12)
Bahia 22.2% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 53.26% (+0.47)
No Goal 7.99% (-0.42)
Bahia 38.75% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.68% (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.68% (-0.23)
Under 8 23.64% (-0.06)
Over 9 54.07% (+0.50)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.23)
Under 9 34.32% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 42.55% (+0.68)
Under 10.5 57.45% (-0.68)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 42.19% (+1.44)
Under 1.5 57.81% (-1.44)
Over 2.5 17.65% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 82.35% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 5.87% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 94.13% (-0.49)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 62.26% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 37.74% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 27.18% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 72.82% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 8.83% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 91.17% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 2.26% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.74% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Mirassol 46.26%
Draw 26.76%
Bahia 26.99%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.77% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.69% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 4.37% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 4.06% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.76% (+0.48)
Total : 46.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.93% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.76%
Bahia
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.15% (-0.09)
Total : 26.99%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Erick da Costa Farias 40' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 67' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel 17'
  • yellowcard Clayson 42'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Carroll Santana 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Roni 65'
  • goal Iury Castilho 71'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 71'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'+5'