Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Lucas Paquetá 15' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  45' goal
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 49' goal
  • Gonzalo Plata 63' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 63' yellowcard
  • Pedro 77' yellowcard
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 77' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro 90'+6' goal
  • goal Yony González 40'
  • yellowcard Baldomero Perlaza 68'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 68'
  • yellowcard Halam Loboa 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Cataño 68'
  • yellowcard John Edwin Montaño 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreno 86'

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.30am
Garcilaso 0 - 2 Flamengo

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.00am
Medellin 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%) , while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (5.55%).

Result

Flamengo 61.55%
Draw 22.72% (-0.04)
Independiente Medellin 15.74% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.12% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 26.88% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 48.02% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 51.98% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.97% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.03% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.81% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 84.19% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 40.5%
Draw 40.76%
Independiente Medellin 18.73%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 61.32% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.69% (-0.03)
Independiente Medellin 30.99% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.33% (+0.19)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.03)
Under 8 33.04% (-0.22)
Over 9 43.71% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.04)
Under 9 44.67% (-0.19)
Over 10.5 33.04% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 66.96% (-0.11)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 53.31% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.69% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 26.55% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 73.45% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.88% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.12% (-0.04)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 48.34% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 51.66% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 16.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.03% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.36% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 95.64% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.02%
Under 3.5 98.98%

Score analysis

Flamengo 61.56%
Draw 22.72%
Independiente Medellin 15.73%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 13.65% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 12.19% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.83% (+0.05)
Total : 61.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 22.72%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.73%