Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.30am
Garcilaso 0 - 2 Flamengo

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.00am
Medellin 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw has a probability of 22.61% and a win for Independiente Medellin has a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.59%) , while for a Independiente Medellin win it is 0-1 (5.52%).

Result

Flamengo 61.65%
Draw 22.61%
Independiente Medellin 15.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41%
Under 1.5 26.59%
Over 2.5 48.35%
Under 2.5 51.65%
Over 3.5 26.22%
Under 3.5 73.75%
Over 4.5 15.98%
Under 4.5 84.02%

First Half Winner

Flamengo 40.5%
Draw 40.76%
Independiente Medellin 18.73%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 61.39%
No Goal 7.58%
Independiente Medellin 31.03%

Corners

Over 8 55.15%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 33.24%
Over 9 43.57%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 44.85%
Over 10.5 32.96%
Under 10.5 67.04%

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 53.57%
Under 1.5 46.43%
Over 2.5 26.78%
Under 2.5 73.22%
Over 3.5 11%
Under 3.5 89%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 48.48%
Under 0.5 51.52%
Over 1.5 17.08%
Under 1.5 82.92%
Over 2.5 4.4%
Under 2.5 95.6%
Over 3.5 1.03%
Under 3.5 98.97%

Score analysis

Flamengo 61.65%
Draw 22.62%
Independiente Medellin 15.76%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 12.16%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 10.95%
Total : 61.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 22.62%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 15.76%