Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%) , while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (5.55%).