Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Daniel Cataño 46' yellowcard
  • Francisco Chaverra 63' goal
  • Yony González 68' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Palacios 4'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 60'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tobio Burgos 61'
  • yellowcard Adolfo Gaich 62'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tobio Burgos 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 62'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 89'
  • yellowcard Brian Aguirre 90'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'

Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions

Estudiantes

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw has a probability of 29.09% and a win for Estudiantes has a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.36%) , while for a Estudiantes win it is 0-1 (10.17%).

Result

Independiente Medellin 43.63% (-0.03)
Draw 29.09% (+0.06)
Estudiantes 27.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.49% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.44% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 35.56% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 37.61% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 62.39% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 17.94% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 82.03% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 8.96% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 91.04% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Independiente Medellin 35.23% (+0.03)
Draw 43.89% (-0.01)
Estudiantes 20.88% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente Medellin 52.36% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.29% (+0.07)
Estudiantes 36.35% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.88% (+0.34)
Equal 8 12.15% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.98% (-0.29)
Over 9 39.17% (+0.35)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.12% (-0.34)
Over 10.5 28.81% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 71.19% (-0.33)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 1.5 35.27% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 64.73% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.99% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.01% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.99% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.01% (+0.03)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 58.4% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.6% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 23.11% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 76.89% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 6.94% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.06% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.38% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 43.64%
Draw 29.09%
Estudiantes 27.27%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 14.1% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73%
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.91% (-0.03)
Total : 43.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.29% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 29.09%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 10.17% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.54% (-0.03)
Total : 27.27%