Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.81% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.