Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Néiser Villarreal 46' yellowcard
  • Christian 51' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 66' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 68' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva  75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Monsalve 57'
  • yellowcard Leonel Pérez 71'
  • yellowcard Tetê 71'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 71'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 84'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 85'

Cruzeiro vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 10.30pm
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Christian

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
Internacional 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 58.14% (-0.04)
Draw 24.24% (-0.04)
Gremio 17.62% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.56% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.92% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 29.08% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 45.47% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.53% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.6% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.4% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.33% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.67% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 44.55%
Draw 40.35%
Gremio 15.1%

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 64.8% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.32% (-0.04)
Gremio 26.88% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.1%
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 26.38%
Over 9 49.92%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 37.9%
Over 10.5 38.19%
Under 10.5 61.81%

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 49.39% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.61% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 22.95% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 77.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.43% (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 51.14% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 48.86% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 17.92% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 82.08% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 4.46% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 58.13%
Draw 24.23%
Gremio 17.63%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 14.27% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 11.44% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 8.56% (+0.03)
Total : 58.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.23%
Gremio
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.84% (+0.02)
Total : 17.63%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 5, 2025 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 14, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 28, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • William 34' yellowcard
  • William 34' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 42' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 42' goal
  • Lucas Romero 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 19'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 19'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 66'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Cristian Pavon 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 57' redcard
  • goal Ramiro 15'
  • goal Arthur 17'
  • yellowcard Machado 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Luis Suarez 29' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 54' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 69' yellowcard
  • Pepe 78' goal
  • Gabriel Grando 88' yellowcard
  • Fabio Da Silva 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neris 38'
  • yellowcard Marlon 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Machado 82'
Copa do Brasil
Jun 1, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • goal Mathias Villasanti 27'
  • goal Mathias Villasanti 27'