Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 64.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.19% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood.