Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • E. Agüero 49' goal
  • Bautista Kociubinski 61' yellowcard
  • Diogo Guzmán 81' yellowcard
  • Kevin Silva 89' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Nardoni 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 56'
  • yellowcard Francis Amuzu 56'
  • yellowcard Miguel Monsalve 63'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 70'

Montevideo City Torque vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Gremio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo City Torque 39.55% (-0.04)
Draw 27.24%
Gremio 33.22% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.07% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.87% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 74.13% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.73% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.27% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 34.15%
Draw 42.26%
Gremio 23.59%

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 52.6%
No Goal 8.08%
Gremio 39.32%

Corners

Over 8 47.9% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.9% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.21% (-0.08)
Over 9 36.67% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.1% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 26.92% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 73.08% (-0.05)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 37.52% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.48% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.68% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.32% (+0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 67.16% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.84% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.19% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.07% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.8% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.2% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 39.56%
Draw 27.22%
Gremio 33.22%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.49% (-0.01)
Total : 39.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 27.22%
Gremio
0-1 @ 9.29% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.61% (-0.02)
Total : 33.22%