Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.85% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.74%) , while for a Central Español win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.