Copa Sudamericana
Mar 3, 2026 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Franco Romero 47' goal
  • Juan Quintana 70' yellowcard
  • Kevin Silva 78' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Cáceres 89' yellowcard
  • Lucas Duré 89' yellowcard
  • Bautista Kociubinski 89' yellowcard
  • Lucas Duré 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Caballero 39'
  • yellowcard Brian Lozano 69'
  • yellowcard Alan Torterolo 69'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Navarro 82'
  • yellowcard Valentín Rodríguez 82'

Montevideo City Torque vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.18% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo City Torque 44.68% (-1.23)
Draw 28.18% (-0.25)
Defensor Sporting 27.11% (+1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.83% (+0.63)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.46% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 33.54% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 40.54% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 59.43% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 20.2% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 79.8% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 10.51% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 89.49% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 34.01% (+1.22)
Draw 44.5% (-1.15)
Defensor Sporting 21.5% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 52.87% (+1.95)
No Goal 10.49% (-0.18)
Defensor Sporting 36.64% (-1.77)

Corners

Over 8 46.12% (-3.02)
Equal 8 11.99% (-0.34)
Under 8 41.88% (+3.35)
Over 9 34.96% (-2.43)
Equal 9 11.16% (-0.59)
Under 9 53.88% (+3.02)
Over 10.5 25.4% (-1.74)
Under 10.5 74.6% (+1.73)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 37.48% (-1.37)
Under 1.5 62.52% (+1.37)
Over 2.5 14.87% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 85.13% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.18)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 58.92% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 41.08% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 24.18% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 75.82% (-0.73)
Over 2.5 7.54% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 92.46% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 2.01% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 97.99% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 44.67%
Draw 28.18%
Defensor Sporting 27.12%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 13.37% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.38)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.68% (-0.07)
Total : 44.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 10.49% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.11)
Total : 28.18%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 9.65% (+0.46)
1-2 @ 6.12% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 1.93% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.93% (+0.24)
Total : 27.12%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Charrúa
  • Nahuel Da Silva 10' goal
  • Franco Romero 61' yellowcard
  • Franco Pizzichillo 71' yellowcard
  • Bautista Kociubinski 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Cáceres 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Machado 31'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Goicochea 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Medina 66'
  • yellowcard Valentín Rodríguez 66'
  • yellowcard Brian Lozano 76'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 24, 2025 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 2.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Santiago Costa 1' yellowcard
  • Jose Taran 13' yellowcard
  • Francisco Tinaglini 25' yellowcard
  • 49' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 45'+1'
  • goal Walter Montoya 72'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gomez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Oct 13, 2023 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 18' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Barco 44' goal
  • Alvaro Navarro 59' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Costa 71'
  • yellowcard Andrew Teuten 86'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Guerrero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jun 6, 2023 12.15am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Sebastian Ribas 40' goal
  • Sebastian Ribas 41' goal
  • goal Augusto Cambon 81'
  • goal Augusto Cambon 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 4, 2023 12.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • goal Andres Ferrari 13'
  • goal Matias Abaldo 18'
  • goal Adrian Balboa 78'