Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.2%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Central Español win was 0-1 (12.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.