Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Brian Lozano 54' yellowcard
  • Alan Torterolo 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Wunsch 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 46'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Gonella 74'
  • yellowcard Diego Vera 74'
  • yellowcard Franco Muñoz 83'

Defensor Sporting vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 11.00pm
Torque 1 - 0 Defensor

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm
Central Español 0 - 1 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.2%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Central Español win was 0-1 (12.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Defensor Sporting 35.2% (-0.05)
Draw 30.87%
Central Español 33.93% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.68% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.99% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 37.01% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 35.98% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 64.02% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 17.03% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 82.97% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 8.24% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.76% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 26.28%
Draw 48.59%
Central Español 25.13%

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 44.34% (+0.02)
No Goal 12.26% (-0.01)
Central Español 43.4%

Corners

Over 8 54.05% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.01% (-0.02)
Over 9 42.24% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.95% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 31.52% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.48% (+0.04)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 28.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.24% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.76% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.58% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.42% (+0.02)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 63.98% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.02% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.4% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.6% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 35.2%
Draw 30.88%
Central Español 33.93%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.5%
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57% (-0.03)
Total : 35.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 12.26% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.88%
Central Español
0-1 @ 12.39% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.34% (-0.02)
Total : 33.93%