Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Nicolás Campos 71' yellowcard
  • Máximo Alonso 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Milán 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Vera 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Bajú 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rivero 71'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Zeballos 71'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 79'
  • yellowcard Alan García 86'
  • yellowcard Santiago Benítez 86'

Central Español vs Montevideo Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 8.00pm
Juventud 0 - 1 Central Español

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.45pm
Wanderers 0 - 4 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Central Español 39.83% (+0.16)
Draw 30% (+0.08)
Montevideo Wanderers 30.17% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.12% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.28% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 34.72% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 39.14% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 60.86% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 19.89% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 80.11% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 10.06% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 89.94% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Central Español 28.32% (+0.02)
Draw 49.28%
Montevideo Wanderers 22.39% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Central Español 46.9% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.38% (+0.09)
Montevideo Wanderers 41.72% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 44.1% (-0.90)
Equal 8 12.51% (-0.10)
Under 8 43.39% (+1.00)
Over 9 32.66% (-0.74)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.17)
Under 9 55.9% (+0.90)
Over 10.5 23.06% (-0.52)
Under 10.5 76.94% (+0.52)

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 33.73% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.27% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.33%
Under 2.5 87.67%
Over 3.5 3.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.41% (-0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 61.97% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 38.03% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 26.31% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 73.69% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 8.76% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 91.24% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.45% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.55% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Central Español 39.83%
Draw 30.01%
Montevideo Wanderers 30.17%
Central Español
1-0 @ 12.73% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.12% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.42% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 39.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.64%
0-0 @ 11.38% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 30.01%
Montevideo Wanderers
0-1 @ 10.62% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.37% (-0.07)
Total : 30.17%