Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.