Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 28, 2026 10.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Charrúa
  • Salomón Rodríguez 4' goal
  • Salomón Rodríguez 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Cáceres 65' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Busquets 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Duré 81' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Da Silva 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 31'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 33'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 35'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 41'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz de los Santos 69'
  • yellowcard Agustín Rogel 86'
  • yellowcard P. Núñez 86'

Montevideo City Torque vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 5.00pm
Maldonado 1 - 0 Torque

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 11.30pm
Nacional 3 - 0 Cerro Largo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo City Torque 31.06% (-0.02)
Draw 28.08%
Nacional 40.86% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.02% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.17% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 30.83% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 43.32% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 56.68% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 22.35% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 77.65% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 11.66% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 88.34% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 27.05%
Draw 42.91%
Nacional 30.05%

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 43.02% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.38% (+0.06)
Nacional 47.6% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.84% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.24% (+0.13)
Under 8 38.92% (-0.20)
Over 9 37.22% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.13)
Under 9 51.16% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 27.07% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 72.93% (+0.16)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 28.88% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 71.12% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 9.48% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 90.52% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.65% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.35% (+0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 70.89% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.11% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 36.25% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 63.75% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 14.21% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 85.79% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.56% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.44% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 31.06%
Draw 28.07%
Nacional 40.86%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.75% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.04)
Total : 31.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.38% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 28.07%
Nacional
0-1 @ 11.69% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.29% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.54% (-0.05)
Total : 40.86%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 9.30pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 1, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento
  • Ezequiel Busquets 25' goal
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 33' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Busquets 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 36'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 39'
  • goal Romulo Otero 64'
  • goal Gonzalo Petit Abad 74'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 2, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Nahuel Leivas Rodriguez 19' goal
  • Gary Kagelmacher 24' yellowcard
  • Franco Pizzichillo 72' yellowcard
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 69'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos Carro 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Leandro Lozano 11' redcard
  • Gabriel Baez 27' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 41' yellowcard
  • Fredy Martinez 51' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 55' goal
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 90' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Catarozzi 15'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Villa 16'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Palacios 33'
  • yellowcard Franco Catarozzi 59'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 81'
  • yellowcard Francisco Tinaglini 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 14, 2023 10.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • goal Yonatan Rodriguez 12'
  • goal Diego Zabala 21'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 34'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 44'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 10.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Diego Arismendi 24' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pena 44' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pena 53' redcard
  • Tiago Palacios 66' yellowcard
  • Martin Rabunal 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Fagundez 8'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 15'
  • goal Luis Suarez 27'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 43'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 44'
  • goal Emmanuel Gigliotti 89'