Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 28, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Charrúa

Montevideo City Torque vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 5.00pm
Maldonado 1 - 0 Torque

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 11.30pm
Nacional 3 - 0 Cerro Largo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Montevideo City Torque has a probability of 31.06% and a draw has a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win is 1-0 (9.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.23%).

Result

Montevideo City Torque 31.06% (-0.02)
Draw 28.08%
Nacional 40.86% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.02% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.17% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 30.83% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 43.32% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 56.68% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 22.35% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 77.65% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 11.66% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 88.34% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 27.05%
Draw 42.91%
Nacional 30.05%

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 43.02% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.38% (+0.06)
Nacional 47.6% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.84% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.24% (+0.13)
Under 8 38.92% (-0.20)
Over 9 37.22% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.13)
Under 9 51.16% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 27.07% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 72.93% (+0.16)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 28.88% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 71.12% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 9.48% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 90.52% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.65% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.35% (+0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 70.89% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.11% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 36.25% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 63.75% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 14.21% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 85.79% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.56% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.44% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 31.06%
Draw 28.07%
Nacional 40.86%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.75% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.04)
Total : 31.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.38% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 28.07%
Nacional
0-1 @ 11.69% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.29% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.54% (-0.05)
Total : 40.86%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 9.30pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 1, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento
  • Ezequiel Busquets 25' goal
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 33' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Busquets 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 36'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 39'
  • goal Romulo Otero 64'
  • goal Gonzalo Petit Abad 74'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 2, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Nahuel Leivas Rodriguez 19' goal
  • Gary Kagelmacher 24' yellowcard
  • Franco Pizzichillo 72' yellowcard
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 69'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos Carro 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Leandro Lozano 11' redcard
  • Gabriel Baez 27' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 41' yellowcard
  • Fredy Martinez 51' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 55' goal
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 90' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Catarozzi 15'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Villa 16'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Palacios 33'
  • yellowcard Franco Catarozzi 59'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 81'
  • yellowcard Francisco Tinaglini 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 14, 2023 10.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • goal Yonatan Rodriguez 12'
  • goal Diego Zabala 21'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 34'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 44'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 10.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Diego Arismendi 24' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pena 44' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pena 53' redcard
  • Tiago Palacios 66' yellowcard
  • Martin Rabunal 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Fagundez 8'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 15'
  • goal Luis Suarez 27'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 43'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 44'
  • goal Emmanuel Gigliotti 89'