Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw has a probability of 28.44% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.14%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 1-0 (9.35%).