Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor Sporting vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 8.00pm
Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw has a probability of 28.44% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.14%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 1-0 (9.35%).

Result

Defensor Sporting 26.94%
Draw 28.44% (+0.06)
Nacional 44.62% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.48% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.91% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 33.09% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 40.77% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 59.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 20.06% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 79.94% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.26% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 89.74% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 23.6%
Draw 44.39%
Nacional 32%

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 39.39% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.44% (+0.05)
Nacional 50.17% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.19% (-0.27)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 34.81% (+0.27)
Over 9 41.39% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.02)
Under 9 46.81% (+0.27)
Over 10.5 30.76% (-0.20)
Under 10.5 69.24% (+0.20)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 24.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.11% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.78% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.22% (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 72.25% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 27.75% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.42% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.58% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 14.73% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.27% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.69% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.31% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 26.94%
Draw 28.45%
Nacional 44.62%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.35% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Total : 26.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 10.44% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.45%
Nacional
0-1 @ 13.31% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 4.68% (-0.04)
Total : 44.62%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 18, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Christian Oliva 12' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 66' goal
  • Gonzalo Petit Abad 85' goal
  • Romulo Otero 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal 29'
  • yellowcard Francisco Ginella 39'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 46'
  • goal Nahuel Furtado 53'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Diego Polenta 67' goal
  • Diego Polenta 74' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 26'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 83'
  • yellowcard Kevin Dawson 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 10.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Octavio Rivero 22' goal
  • Facundo Bernal 24' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 52' goal
  • Brian Mansilla 52' yellowcard
  • Anderson Duarte 54' goal
  • Erico Cuello 54' yellowcard
  • Fernando Elizari 72' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 10'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 59'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • goal Federico Santander 86'
  • yellowcard Federico Santander 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ignacio Ramirez 3' goal
  • Leandro Lozano 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Chagas 45' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Chagas 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 74' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 81' goal
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 82' redcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Martinez 29'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 44'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 65'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 7, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Camilo Candido 38' goal
  • Leandro Barcia 70' goal
  • goal Franco Fagundez 17'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 53'