Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Lucas Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Silvera 45'+2' goal
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz de los Santos 65' yellowcard
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 70' goal
  • Agustín Dos Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Bajú 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Benítez 61'
  • yellowcard Esteban Crucci 61'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 77'
  • yellowcard Alan García 77'

Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
Juventud 3 - 1 Nacional

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 11.00pm
Wanderers 0 - 0 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 55.28%
Draw 26.95%
Montevideo Wanderers 17.77% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.07% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.93% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 38.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 61.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 80.7% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 10.33%
Under 4.5 89.67%

First Half Winner

Nacional 38.88%
Draw 43.92%
Montevideo Wanderers 17.2%

Team To Score First

Nacional 59.04%
No Goal 10.93%
Montevideo Wanderers 30.03%

Corners

Over 8 54.91% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.83% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.26% (+0.01)
Over 9 43.13% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 45.09% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 32.36% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.64% (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 43.84%
Under 1.5 56.16%
Over 2.5 18.58%
Under 2.5 81.42%
Over 3.5 6.28%
Under 3.5 93.72%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 49.59%
Under 0.5 50.41%
Over 1.5 16.08%
Under 1.5 83.92%
Over 2.5 3.81%
Under 2.5 96.19%
Over 3.5 0.82%
Under 3.5 99.18%

Score analysis

Nacional 55.28%
Draw 26.95%
Montevideo Wanderers 17.78%
Nacional
1-0 @ 16.34%
2-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 6.22%
Total : 55.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.95%
Montevideo Wanderers
0-1 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Paulo Lima 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 51' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 59'
  • goal Gaston Gonzalez 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Osinachi Ebere 11' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 53' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cairus 77' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 87' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 44'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 1' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 25' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 42' goal
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Camargo 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 84'
  • goal Nicolas Ferreira 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • goal Diego Polenta 90'