Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.