Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.