Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Nacional
Mar 24, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo

Nacional vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30am
Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 9.00pm
Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw has a probability of 27.68% and a win for Cerro Largo has a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.99%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it is 0-1 (8.45%).

Result

Nacional 51.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 27.68%
Cerro Largo 21.14% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 34.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 60.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 18.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 81.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 9.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 90.13% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Nacional 37.28%
Draw 42.69%
Cerro Largo 20.04%

Team To Score First

Nacional 57.36% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Cerro Largo 32.01%

Corners

Over 8 56.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 31.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 44.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 43.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 33.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 66.24% ▲ (+0.10)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 41.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 16.75% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 53.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 46.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.79%
Under 1.5 81.21%
Over 2.5 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 95.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.03%
Under 3.5 98.97%

Score analysis

Nacional 51.17%
Draw 27.69%
Cerro Largo 21.13%
Nacional
1-0 @ 15.07%
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 51.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.69%
Cerro Largo
0-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.13%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Nacional
Oct 4, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Cerro Largo
Apr 6, 2025 9.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Martin Gianoli 9' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bonifazi 43' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 60' yellowcard
  • Agustin Perez 61' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Boggio 8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 23'
  • yellowcard Diego Herazo 26'
  • goal Romulo Otero 32'
  • redcard Diego Herazo 58'
  • goal Romulo Otero 63'
  • yellowcard Julian Millan 74'
  • goal Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
Oct 13, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Luciano Cosentino 1' yellowcard
  • Renzo Rabino 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 22'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 35'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 48'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lopez 69'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
Jun 23, 2024 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Briam Acosta 9' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Assis 14' yellowcard
  • Sergio Nunez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Renzo Rabino 55' yellowcard
  • Axel Prado 45'+13' yellowcard
  • Hugo Silveira 45'+16' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 45'+20' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 45'+21' redcard
  • Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen 87' yellowcard
  • Hugo Silveira 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 13'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gonzalez 43'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 45'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 49'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 45'+7'
  • goal Lucas Sanabria 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 66'
  • goal Federico Santander 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Nacional
Apr 6, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo
  • Mauricio Pereyra 20' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 32' goal
  • Sebastian Sosa 37' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 39' yellowcard
  • Briam Acosta 53' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 79' yellowcard
  • J. Recoba 80' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 85' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 40'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Formento 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
Aug 26, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Santiago Viera 14' yellowcard
  • Martin Gianoli 18' goal
  • Mauro Brasil 29' yellowcard
  • Gino Santilli 76' yellowcard
  • Hugo Silveira 90' goal
  • Brian Ferrares 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Tiago Galletto 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 27'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 38'
  • yellowcard Franco Fagundez 79'
  • goal Diego Zabala 86'
  • redcard Franco Fagundez 90'+5'

Form Data

Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers
Juventud 3 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 0 - 1 Penarol
Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 1 Racing
Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Maldonado
Central Español 1 - 3 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Torque
Liverpool 2 - 0 Cerro Largo
Defensor 1 - 0 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 1 - 2 Wanderers