Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Keny Arroyo 46' yellowcard
  • William 46' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva  72' yellowcard
  • Chico da Costa 83' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Justo Giani 29'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Arancibia 78'
  • yellowcard Matias Palavecino 78'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Martínez 88'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Martínez 89'
  • yellowcard Juan Francisco Rossel 89'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Justo Giani 89'
  • goal Jimmy Martínez 90'+4'

Cruzeiro vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 1.00am
Barcelona 0 - 1 Cruzeiro

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 1.30am
Catolica 1 - 2 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 49.14% (-0.04)
Draw 26.4%
Universidad Catolica 24.46% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.53% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.32% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 30.68% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.34% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.22% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.78% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.1%
Under 4.5 87.9%

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 34.49%
Draw 41.08%
Universidad Catolica 24.43%

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 51.67%
No Goal 9.33%
Universidad Catolica 39%

Corners

Over 8 52.4% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 35.95%
Over 9 41.03% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.38% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.6% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 30.8% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 69.2% (+0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 42.08% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.92% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.89% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.97%
Under 3.5 94.03%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 56.74% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 43.26% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.37% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.63% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 7.42% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.9% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 49.14%
Draw 26.41%
Universidad Catolica 24.46%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 5.9%
Total : 49.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.41%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.97% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Total : 24.46%