Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 1.00am
Barcelona 0 - 1 Cruzeiro

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 1.30am
Catolica 1 - 2 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw has a probability of 26.61% and a win for Universidad Catolica has a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Universidad Catolica win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result

Cruzeiro 49.24% (+0.04)
Draw 26.61%
Universidad Catolica 24.15% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.03% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 42.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.84% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.48% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.52% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 34.84%
Draw 41.29%
Universidad Catolica 23.86%

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 52.44% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.65% (-0.01)
Universidad Catolica 37.91%

Corners

Over 8 51.44% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 36.72% (-0.01)
Over 9 39.96% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 48.56% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 29.73% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.27% (-0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 41.36% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.64% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.17% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.83% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.15% (-0.02)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 55.82% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 44.18% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.41%
Under 1.5 77.59%
Over 2.5 7.04%
Under 2.5 92.96%
Over 3.5 1.86%
Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 49.25%
Draw 26.62%
Universidad Catolica 24.15%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.99%
2-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 8.93% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.75% (+0.02)
Total : 49.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 24.15%