Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (9.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.