Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Confianca had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%) , while for a Confianca win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.