Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Confianca win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.89% and a win for Tombense had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Confianca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Tombense win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.