Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tombense win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.06% and a win for Oratorio had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tombense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Oratorio win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.