Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Nova win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.59% and a win for Confianca had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%) , while for a Confianca win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.