Copa do Brasil
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
Estádio Benito Agnelo Castellano

Velo Clube vs Vila Nova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velo Clube

All competitions

Vila Nova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vila Nova win with a probability of 35.55%. A win for Velo Clube has a probability of 34.05% and a draw has a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Velo Clube win is 1-0 (12.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.52%).

Result

Velo Clube 34.05% (+1.08)
Draw 30.4% (-0.28)
Vila Nova 35.55% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.36% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.98% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 38.02% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 35.58% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 64.42% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 17.44% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 82.56% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 8.59% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.41% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Velo Clube 27.65% (+1.23)
Draw 48.13% (-0.81)
Vila Nova 24.22% (-0.43)

Team To Score First

Velo Clube 44.33% (+1.88)
No Goal 12.42% (+0.02)
Vila Nova 43.25% (-1.90)

Corners

Over 8 56.32% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.15)
Under 8 32.49% (-0.25)
Over 9 45.06% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.15)
Under 9 43.68% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 34.61% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 65.39% (+0.16)

Velo Clube Goals

Over 1.5 27.51% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 72.49% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 8.98% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 91.02% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 2.52% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 97.48% (-0.25)

Vila Nova Goals

Over 0.5 64.23% (-1.21)
Under 0.5 35.77% (+1.21)
Over 1.5 28.29% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 71.71% (+1.02)
Over 2.5 9.37% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 90.63% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 2.71% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.29% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Velo Clube 34.05%
Draw 30.39%
Vila Nova 35.53%
Velo Clube
1-0 @ 12.46% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 6.84% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.34% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.05% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.47% (+0.27)
Total : 34.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 12.42% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.33)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 30.39%
Vila Nova
0-1 @ 13.11% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 6.56% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.66% (-0.03)
Total : 35.53%