Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velo Clube win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Vasco da Gama AC had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velo Clube win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama AC win was 1-0 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.