Copa do Brasil
Mar 11, 2026 12.00am

Vila Nova vs Operario MS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vila Nova

All competitions

Operario MS

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vila Nova win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw has a probability of 22.19% and a win for Operario MS has a probability of 14.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.75%) , while for a Operario MS win it is 0-1 (5.72%).

Result

Vila Nova 63.07% (-0.15)
Draw 22.19% (+0.07)
Operario MS 14.69% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.98% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.97% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 27.03% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 47.97% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 52.03% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 26.03% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 73.97% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 16.36% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 83.64% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Vila Nova 39.47%
Draw 42.49%
Operario MS 18.04%

Team To Score First

Vila Nova 63.93% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.71% (+0.05)
Operario MS 28.36% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.71% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.91% (+0.07)
Under 8 30.38% (-0.09)
Over 9 47.52% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.19% (+0.06)
Under 9 41.29% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.94% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 63.06% (+0.08)

Vila Nova Goals

Over 1.5 54.04% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 45.96% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 28.07% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 71.93% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 12.12% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 87.88% (+0.15)

Operario MS Goals

Over 0.5 47.02% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 52.98% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 15.1% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 84.9% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 3.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.85% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.71%
Under 3.5 99.29%

Score analysis

Vila Nova 63.07%
Draw 22.18%
Operario MS 14.7%
Vila Nova
1-0 @ 13.55% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.67% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 12.11% (-0.15)
Total : 63.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.18%
Operario MS
0-1 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.82%
0-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 14.7%