Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Nova win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.17% and a win for Operario MS had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%) , while for a Operario MS win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.