Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ASA win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Operario MS had a probability of 11.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a ASA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%) , while for a Operario MS win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.