Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.