Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 6, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
Deportivo Recoleta 0 - 0 Cuenca

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Deportivo Recoleta has a probability of 31.82% and a draw has a probability of 29.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Deportivo Recoleta win is 1-0 (11.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.28%).

Result

Deportivo Recoleta 31.82% (-0.84)
Draw 29.52% (-0.40)
Santos 38.7% (+1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.65% (-1.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.32% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 34.68% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 39.4% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 60.6% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 19.91% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 80.09% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 10.2% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 89.8% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Recoleta 26.14% (-1.24)
Draw 46.4% (+0.20)
Santos 27.46% (+1.02)

Team To Score First

Deportivo Recoleta 43.06% (+1.35)
No Goal 11.13% (+0.06)
Santos 45.81% (-1.40)

Corners

Over 8 55.13% (+1.79)
Equal 8 12.06% (+0.09)
Under 8 32.81% (-1.87)
Over 9 43.1% (+1.53)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.26)
Under 9 44.87% (-1.79)
Over 10.5 32.12% (+1.16)
Under 10.5 67.88% (-1.17)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 1.5 27.76% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 72.24% (+1.16)
Over 2.5 8.71% (-1.06)
Under 2.5 91.29% (+1.07)
Over 3.5 2.4% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 97.6% (+0.29)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 32.27% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 32.87% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 67.13% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 12.21% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 87.79% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 3.67% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.33% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Deportivo Recoleta 31.82%
Draw 29.53%
Santos 38.7%
Deportivo Recoleta
1-0 @ 11.28% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.27)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.36% (-0.21)
Total : 31.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 11.13% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.08)
Total : 29.53%
Santos
0-1 @ 12.32% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.92% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.99% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 3.01% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.63% (+0.18)
Total : 38.7%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Neymar  4' goal
  • Miguelito 64' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Rollheiser 64' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 64' yellowcard
  • Rafael Gonzaga 75' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Díaz 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Junior Noguera 60'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Medina 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Núñez 72'
  • yellowcard Claudio Garay 84'
  • yellowcard Mathías Masi 84'