Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.63% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.