Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Allan 46' yellowcard
  • Ramón Sosa 60' yellowcard
  • José Manuel López 64' goal
  • Paulinho  74' yellowcard
  • Luis Pacheco 74' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martínez 80' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamín Rollheiser 26'
  • yellowcard Willian Arão 68'
  • yellowcard Moisés 81'
  • yellowcard Rony 81'
  • yellowcard Zé Rafael  86'
  • yellowcard Mateus Xavier 86'

Palmeiras vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 10.30pm
Bragantino 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 10.30pm
Bahia 2 - 2 Santos
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.63% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 65.94% (+0.01)
Draw 21.63% (+0.01)
Santos 12.46% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.88% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.76% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.05%
Under 2.5 50.95%
Over 3.5 26.44%
Under 3.5 73.56%
Over 4.5 16.14% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.86% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 47.88%
Draw 38.62%
Santos 13.5%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 66.18% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.28% (+0.03)
Santos 26.54% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.2%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 24.6%
Over 9 54.2%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 34.8%
Over 10.5 43.27%
Under 10.5 56.73%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 56.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 43.2% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 28.76%
Under 2.5 71.24%
Over 3.5 11.87%
Under 3.5 88.13%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 45.25% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 54.75% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 14.55% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 85.45% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 3.4% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.72% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 65.94%
Draw 21.63%
Santos 12.48%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.4% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 13.12% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.37% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 11.74%
Total : 65.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.63%
Santos
0-1 @ 4.61% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.59% (+0.02)
Total : 12.48%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 16, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Nov 7, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 12, 2025 3.00pm
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Ze Rafael 14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 43' goal
  • Richard Rios 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 41'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morelos 42'
  • goal Tomas Rincon 45'+1'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 70'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 21, 2023 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 18, 2022 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miguel Merentiel 77' goal