Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 10.30pm
Bragantino 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 10.30pm
Bahia 2 - 2 Santos
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw has a probability of 21.79% and a win for Santos has a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Santos win it is 0-1 (4.45%).

Result

Palmeiras 66.03% (-0.88)
Draw 21.79% (+0.47)
Santos 12.18% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.78% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.02% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 25.98% (+0.75)
Over 2.5 49.65% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 50.35% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 26.91% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.64)
Over 4.5 16.51% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 83.49% (+0.56)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 49.35%
Draw 36.66%
Santos 13.99%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 66.88% (-0.25)
No Goal 7.28% (+0.34)
Santos 25.84% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 65.98%
Equal 8 10.3%
Under 8 23.71%
Over 9 54.78%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 34.02%
Over 10.5 43.6%
Under 10.5 56.4%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 57.3% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 42.7% (+1.08)
Over 2.5 29.21% (-1.01)
Under 2.5 70.79% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 12.3% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 87.7% (+0.61)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 45.16% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 54.84% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 14.63% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 85.37% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 3.51% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 96.49% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 0.76% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 99.24% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 66.04%
Draw 21.78%
Santos 12.18%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.25% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 12.99% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.47% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.09% (-0.61)
Total : 66.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.28% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 3.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.78%
Santos
0-1 @ 4.45% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 3.51% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.59% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.55% (+0.05)
Total : 12.18%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 16, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Nov 7, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 12, 2025 3.00pm
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Ze Rafael 14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 43' goal
  • Richard Rios 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 41'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morelos 42'
  • goal Tomas Rincon 45'+1'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 70'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 21, 2023 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 18, 2022 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miguel Merentiel 77' goal