Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Gómez  15' goal
  • Bruno Fuchs 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 72' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 83' yellowcard
  • Luis Benedetti 83' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Cruz 53'
  • yellowcard Chiqueti 60'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zapelli 60'
  • yellowcard Renan Peixoto 80'
  • yellowcard Leozinho 80'

Palmeiras vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 10.30pm
Corinthians 0 - 0 Palmeiras
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.87% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 63.88% (-0.26)
Draw 22.87% (+0.09)
Athletico Paranaense 13.25% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.65% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.87% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 28.13% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 46.49% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 53.51% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 24.37% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 75.63% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 14.44% (+0.64)
Under 4.5 85.56% (-0.65)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 43.57% (-0.90)
Draw 40.1% (+0.39)
Athletico Paranaense 16.33% (+0.53)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 63.34% (-0.21)
No Goal 8.06% (-0.31)
Athletico Paranaense 28.6% (+0.53)

Corners

Over 8 62.35% (+0.90)
Equal 8 10.79% (+0.11)
Under 8 26.86% (-1.02)
Over 9 50.95% (+0.70)
Equal 9 11.4% (+0.22)
Under 9 37.65% (-0.90)
Over 10.5 39.9% (+0.44)
Under 10.5 60.1% (-0.44)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 54.05% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 45.95% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 26.21% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 73.79% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 10.34% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 89.66% (-0.36)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 45.93% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 54.07% (-0.69)
Over 1.5 14.63% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 85.37% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 3.46% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 96.54% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 0.77% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 99.23% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 63.89%
Draw 22.88%
Athletico Paranaense 13.26%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 15.04% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 13.06% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 10.3% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.75% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.19% (+0.27)
Total : 63.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 3.64% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.09)
Total : 22.88%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.84% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.62% (+0.06)
Total : 13.26%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Christian 31' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mauricio 8'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 48'
  • goal Estevao Willian 58'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Mayke 34' yellowcard
  • Endrick 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Abel Ferreira 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • Fernandinho 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo 26'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 47'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 45'+8'
  • goal Pablo 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 56'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 59' (OG)
  • redcard Lucas Esquivel 68'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 5, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Endrick 6' goal
  • Endrick 6' goal
  • Luan Garcia 14' yellowcard
  • Luan Garcia 14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 78' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 78' yellowcard
  • Jhon Jhon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jhon Jhon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 15'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 37'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 37'
  • yellowcard Caca 51'
  • yellowcard Caca 51'
  • yellowcard Christian 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Christian 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Bueno 67' goal
  • Vitor Roque 72' goal
  • goal Endrick 22'
  • goal Gabriel Menino 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matheus Felipe 30' goal
  • goal Endrick 59'
  • goal Endrick 70'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 76'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 7, 2022 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Scarpa 3' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 55' goal
  • goal Pablo 64'
  • goal David Terans 85'