Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 8.00pm
Chapecoense 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw has a probability of 23.62% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (6.03%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 61.91% (+0.03)
Draw 23.62%
Chapecoense 14.47% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.15% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.48% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.18% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.82% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.3% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.7% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.96% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.04% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 39.18%
Draw 43.23%
Chapecoense 17.59%

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 62.13% (-0.11)
No Goal 8.64% (+0.01)
Chapecoense 29.23% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 68.91% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.14% (+0.01)
Under 8 20.95% (+0.06)
Over 9 57.58% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.01)
Under 9 31.09% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 46.02% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 53.98% (+0.06)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 50.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.33% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 23.66% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.34% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.21% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.79% (+0.02)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 46.43% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 53.57% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 14.26% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 85.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.59%
Under 3.5 99.41%

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 61.91%
Draw 23.63%
Chapecoense 14.47%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 15.82% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.94% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.2% (-0.02)
Total : 61.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.63%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 14.47%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 13, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodriguinho 12' yellowcard
  • Anderson Leite 44' yellowcard
  • Matheus Ribeiro 46' yellowcard
  • Matheus Ribeiro 58' goal
  • Gabriel Busanello 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ze Ivaldo 44'
  • yellowcard Nikao 46'
  • yellowcard Richard 46'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 53'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 88'
  • goal Christian 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 28, 2021 12.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Khellven 37' goal
  • Thiago Heleno 60' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio 26'
  • yellowcard Lima 72'
  • goal Geuvanio 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 29, 2019 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães (Curitiba, Paraná)
  • Nikao 57' goal
  • goal Arthur 31'
  • yellowcard Elicarlos 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
May 5, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Douglas 83' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 90' goal
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 45'
  • yellowcard Paulo Andre 48'
  • goal Rony 76'
  • yellowcard Rony 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Sep 14, 2018 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Leandro Pereira 75' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 78' goal
  • Leandro Pereira 88' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 36'
  • yellowcard Pablo 48'
  • goal Pablo 61'
  • yellowcard Diego 75'
Brasileiro
Apr 15, 2018 11.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo 52' goal
  • Nikao 59' goal
  • Thiago Carleto 68' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 77' yellowcard
  • Matheus Rossetto 88' goal
  • Ederson 93' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Thyere 27'
  • yellowcard Wellington Paulista 38'
  • goal Wellington Paulista 48'
  • yellowcard Marcio Araujo 67'