Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.30am
Junior 1 - 1 Palmeiras

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 3.00am
Cristal 1 - 0 Cerro Porteno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw has a probability of 23.37% and a win for Sporting Cristal has a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Sporting Cristal win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result

Palmeiras 59.31%
Draw 23.37%
Sporting Cristal 17.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.78%
Under 1.5 28.22%
Over 2.5 46.84%
Under 2.5 53.16%
Over 3.5 24.48%
Under 3.5 75.52%
Over 4.5 14.53%
Under 4.5 85.47%

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 42.59%
Draw 37.82%
Sporting Cristal 19.59%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 60.57%
No Goal 8.29%
Sporting Cristal 31.14%

Corners

Over 8 57.18%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 32.07%
Over 9 46.28%
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 42.82%
Over 10.5 36.06%
Under 10.5 63.94%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 50.62%
Under 1.5 49.38%
Over 2.5 24.2%
Under 2.5 75.8%
Over 3.5 9.27%
Under 3.5 90.73%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 49.42%
Under 0.5 50.58%
Over 1.5 18.18%
Under 1.5 81.82%
Over 2.5 5.18%
Under 2.5 94.82%
Over 3.5 1.37%
Under 3.5 98.63%

Score analysis

Palmeiras 59.31%
Draw 23.36%
Sporting Cristal 17.31%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.16%
2-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 9.24%
Total : 59.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 23.36%
Sporting Cristal
0-1 @ 5.75%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 17.31%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 29, 2025 1.30am
6
0
HT : 6 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Estevao Willian 32' goal
  • Estevao Willian 32' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 45'+2' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 45'+2' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 64' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 64' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Allan Andrade Elias 78' yellowcard
  • Allan Andrade Elias 78' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 80' goal
  • Facundo Torres 80' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 49'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 49'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal 69'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal 69'
  • yellowcard Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez 78'
  • yellowcard Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez 78'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Jesus Pretell 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 45' yellowcard
  • Jesus Pretell 67' goal
  • Catriel Cabellos 75' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 83' goal
  • goal Estevao Willian 38'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 57'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 61'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 82'
  • goal Richard Rios 90'+2'