Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for 2 de Mayo had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest 2 de Mayo win was 1-0 (9.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.