Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.14% and a win for 2 de Mayo had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Lima win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a 2 de Mayo win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.