Copa Libertadores
Mar 11, 2026 10.00pm
Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting Cristal vs Carabobo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
Carabobo 0 - 1 Cristal

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
Carabobo 0 - 1 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Carabobo has a probability of 25.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Carabobo win is 0-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12%).

Result

Sporting Cristal 49.32% (+0.17)
Draw 25.33% (-0.15)
Carabobo 25.35% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.27% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.66% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 26.34% (-0.90)
Over 2.5 48.96% (+1.17)
Under 2.5 51.04% (-1.17)
Over 3.5 26.77% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 73.23% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 15.17% (+0.61)
Under 4.5 84.83% (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Sporting Cristal 37.29% (-0.04)
Draw 41.44% (-0.15)
Carabobo 21.28% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Sporting Cristal 57.26% (-0.50)
No Goal 7.42% (-0.30)
Carabobo 35.32% (+0.79)

Corners

Over 8 55.59% (+3.28)
Equal 8 11.22% (-0.28)
Under 8 33.19% (-3.00)
Over 9 44.36% (+3.29)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 44.4% (-3.29)
Over 10.5 33.98% (+3.02)
Under 10.5 66.02% (-3.03)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 1.5 45.43% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 54.57% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 20.33% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 79.67% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 7.47% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 92.53% (-0.38)

Carabobo Goals

Over 0.5 60.15% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 39.85% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 26.58% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 73.42% (-0.57)
Over 2.5 8.89% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 91.11% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 2.45% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 97.55% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 49.32%
Draw 25.33%
Carabobo 25.36%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.67% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.58% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.34% (+0.33)
Total : 49.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.06)
Total : 25.33%
Carabobo
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.34% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.32% (+0.07)
Total : 25.36%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto
  • Yohandry Orozco 56' yellowcard
  • Jaime Moreno 69' yellowcard
  • Loureins Martínez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoshimar Yotún 14'
  • yellowcard Írven Ávila 65'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cazonatti 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Pósito 84'
  • yellowcard Juan Gonzalez 90'+3'