Copa Libertadores
Mar 11, 2026 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Alberto Gallardo
  • Santiago González 34' yellowcard
  • Maxloren Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Írven Ávila 46' yellowcard
  • Maxloren Castro 50' goal
  • Gustavo Cazonatti 78' yellowcard
  • Christofer Gonzales 90' yellowcard
  • goal Edson Castillo 4'
  • goal Edson Castillo 29'
  • yellowcard Yohandry Orozco 46'
  • yellowcard Marcel Guaramato 56'
  • yellowcard Jaime Moreno 72'
  • yellowcard Abraham Bahachille 78'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Aponte 78'

Sporting Cristal vs Carabobo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
Carabobo 0 - 1 Cristal

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
Carabobo 0 - 1 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Carabobo had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Carabobo win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Cristal 49.22% (-0.04)
Draw 25.36% (+0.04)
Carabobo 25.45% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.89% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.08% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.14% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.86% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sporting Cristal 37.28% (-0.01)
Draw 41.45% (+0.02)
Carabobo 21.27% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sporting Cristal 57.24% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.44% (+0.03)
Carabobo 35.32%

Corners

Over 8 55.64% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 33.14% (-0.05)
Over 9 44.4% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 44.36% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.01% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.99% (-0.04)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 1.5 45.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.24% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 79.76% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.57% (+0.01)

Carabobo Goals

Over 0.5 60.23%
Under 0.5 39.77%
Over 1.5 26.65% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.35% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.09% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.47%
Under 3.5 97.53%

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 49.22%
Draw 25.37%
Carabobo 25.46%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.3% (-0.01)
Total : 49.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.37%
Carabobo
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.46%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto
  • Yohandry Orozco 56' yellowcard
  • Jaime Moreno 69' yellowcard
  • Loureins Martínez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoshimar Yotún 14'
  • yellowcard Írven Ávila 65'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cazonatti 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Pósito 84'
  • yellowcard Juan Gonzalez 90'+3'