Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 0-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.