Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Universidad
4 - 0
Carabobo

Sepulveda (30', 30'), Aranguiz (65' pen., 65' pen.), Zaldivia (81', 81'), Poblete (90', 90')
Zaldivia (70'), Zaldivia (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (13'), Hernandez (13'), Congo (36'), Congo (36'), Aponte (83'), Aponte (83')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad de Chile and Carabobo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad de Chile

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Last Game: Universidad 0-3 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Carabobo

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Last Game: Carabobo 1-2 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad de Chile would win this match.

Result
Universidad de ChileDrawCarabobo
59.66% (-0.362 -0.36)24.43% (0.18 0.18)15.91% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32% (-0.348 -0.35)58.68% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (-0.271 -0.27)79.22% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.274 -0.27)19.58% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.49% (-0.446 -0.45)51.51% (0.443 0.44)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.45% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03)84.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Universidad de Chile 59.65%
    Carabobo 15.91%
    Draw 24.42%
Universidad de ChileDrawCarabobo
1-0 @ 15.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 12.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 59.65%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.68% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.91%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 12am
Group Stage
Carabobo
1-1
Universidad
Tortolero (21' pen.)
Aranguiz (42' pen.)
Calderon (21'), Zaldivia (25'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (55'), Contreras (88')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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