Estudiantes
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 0
Carabobo

Cetre (10', 10'), Gimenez Alanda (24', 24')
Medina (52'), Medina (52')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Estudiantes and Carabobo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 3-2 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Carabobo

All competitions
Last Game: Universidad 4-0 Carabobo
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.91%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawCarabobo
67.57% (-0.155 -0.16)21.27% (0.062999999999999 0.06)11.16% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 37.46% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)56.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.22% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)15.86% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (-0.109 -0.11)45.06% (0.11 0.11)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.53% (0.158 0.16)55.47% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.84% (0.096 0.1)88.16% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 67.56%
    Carabobo 11.16%
    Draw 21.27%
EstudiantesDrawCarabobo
1-0 @ 16.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 14.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.16% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.27%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.16%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Carabobo

Estudiantes
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Carabobo
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Carabobo
0-2
Estudiantes

Nunez (12'), Gonzalez (60'), Pernia (89'), Congo (90+1')
Tortolero (64')
Nunez (45'), Ascacibar (73' pen.)
Carrillo (28'), Medina (60'), Cetre (89'), Manyoma (90+3')