Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.91%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.