Copa Libertadores
May 28, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
  • Edwuin Cetre 10' goal
  • Edwuin Cetre 10' goal
  • Luciano Gimenez Alanda 24' goal
  • Luciano Gimenez Alanda 24' goal
  • Cristian Medina 52' yellowcard
  • Cristian Medina 52' yellowcard

Estudiantes vs Carabobo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 15, 2025 1.30am
Botafogo 3 - 2 Estudiantes

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 14, 2025 1.30am
Universidad 4 - 0 Carabobo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.91%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result

Estudiantes 67.57% (-0.16)
Draw 21.27% (+0.07)
Carabobo 11.16% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.46% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.83% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 56.17% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 22.78% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.22% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.98% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.02% (+0.02)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 84.14% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 15.86% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 54.94% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 45.06% (+0.11)

Carabobo Goals

Over 0.5 44.53% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 55.47% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 11.84% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 88.16% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 67.56%
Draw 21.27%
Carabobo 11.16%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 16.19% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 14.91% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 9.16% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.79% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 67.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.8% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.27%
Carabobo
0-1 @ 5.18% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.16%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Olimpico Rafael Calles Pinto
  • Matias Nunez 12' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gonzalez 60' yellowcard
  • Edson Tortolero 64' redcard
  • Miguel Pernia 89' yellowcard
  • Yimmi Congo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guido Carrillo 28'
  • goal Santiago Nunez 45'
  • yellowcard Cristian Medina 60'
  • goal Santiago Ascacibar 73'
  • yellowcard Edwuin Cetre 89'
  • yellowcard Alexis Manyoma 90'+3'