Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto

Carabobo vs Sporting Cristal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

All competitions

Sporting Cristal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carabobo win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Sporting Cristal has a probability of 29.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win is 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result

Carabobo 43.7% (+1.98)
Draw 26.74% (-0.29)
Sporting Cristal 29.55% (-1.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.58% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.01% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 28.99% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 45.7% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 54.3% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 24.12% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 75.88% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 12.85% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 87.15% (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Carabobo 32.81% (+0.28)
Draw 44.38% (-1.08)
Sporting Cristal 22.82% (+0.83)

Team To Score First

Carabobo 54.29% (+1.90)
No Goal 8.4% (-0.08)
Sporting Cristal 37.31% (-1.83)

Corners

Over 8 54.46% (-1.23)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.13)
Under 8 34.16% (+1.35)
Over 9 43.16% (-1.00)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.23)
Under 9 45.54% (+1.23)
Over 10.5 32.82% (-0.72)
Under 10.5 67.18% (+0.72)

Carabobo Goals

Over 1.5 39.63% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 60.37% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 16.23% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 83.77% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 5.32% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 94.68% (-0.55)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 63.23% (-1.81)
Under 0.5 36.77% (+1.81)
Over 1.5 28.48% (-1.95)
Under 1.5 71.52% (+1.94)
Over 2.5 9.65% (-0.87)
Under 2.5 90.35% (+0.87)
Over 3.5 2.79% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 97.21% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Carabobo 43.71%
Draw 26.75%
Sporting Cristal 29.55%
Carabobo
1-0 @ 11.54% (+0.57)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.84% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 4.04% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 3.78% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.10)
Other @ 5.22% (+0.67)
Total : 43.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.11)
Total : 26.75%
Sporting Cristal
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.66)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.69% (-0.25)
Total : 29.55%