Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto
  • Yohandry Orozco 56' yellowcard
  • Jaime Moreno 69' yellowcard
  • Loureins Martínez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoshimar Yotún 14'
  • yellowcard Írven Ávila 65'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cazonatti 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Pósito 84'
  • yellowcard Juan Gonzalez 90'+3'

Carabobo vs Sporting Cristal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

All competitions

Sporting Cristal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Carabobo 43.7%
Draw 26.74%
Sporting Cristal 29.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.54% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.94% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 29.06% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 45.67% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.33% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.05% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.95% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.82% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.18% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Carabobo 32.81%
Draw 44.38%
Sporting Cristal 22.82%

Team To Score First

Carabobo 54.29%
No Goal 8.41% (+0.01)
Sporting Cristal 37.3% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.46%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 34.16%
Over 9 43.16%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 45.54%
Over 10.5 32.82%
Under 10.5 67.18%

Carabobo Goals

Over 1.5 39.58% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.42% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.3% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.7% (+0.02)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 63.18% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.82% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 28.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.65%
Under 2.5 90.35%
Over 3.5 2.79%
Under 3.5 97.21%

Score analysis

Carabobo 43.7%
Draw 26.74%
Sporting Cristal 29.54%
Carabobo
1-0 @ 11.57% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.2% (-0.02)
Total : 43.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
Sporting Cristal
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.54%