Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.