Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (9.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.