Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.