Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.52% and a win for Jacuipense had a probability of 9.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.36%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Jacuipense win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.