Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 10.45pm
1
1
ET Estadio Ciro López
  • Marquinhos 64' goal
  • goal Thiaguinho 35'

Ceilandia vs Jacuipense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceilandia

All competitions

Jacuipense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceilandia win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Jacuipense had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceilandia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Jacuipense win was 0-1 (10.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Ceilandia 37.94% (-0.06)
Draw 28.04%
Jacuipense 34.02% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.34% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.84%
Under 1.5 33.16%
Over 2.5 41.27%
Under 2.5 58.73%
Over 3.5 21.42% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.58% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.36% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.64% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ceilandia 29.78%
Draw 45.09%
Jacuipense 25.13%

Team To Score First

Ceilandia 47.62%
No Goal 10.34% (+0.01)
Jacuipense 42.04% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.47% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 36.94% (-0.03)
Over 9 40.23% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 48.53% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 30.18% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 69.82% (-0.02)

Ceilandia Goals

Over 1.5 32.1% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.9% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.23% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.77% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.67% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.33% (+0.02)

Jacuipense Goals

Over 0.5 64.04% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.96% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.23% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.77% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.3% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.43%
Under 3.5 96.57%

Score analysis

Ceilandia 37.94%
Draw 28.05%
Jacuipense 34.02%
Ceilandia
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.66% (-0.01)
Total : 37.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 10.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.05%
Jacuipense
0-1 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 34.02%