Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 10.45pm
Estadio Ciro López

Ceilandia vs Jacuipense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceilandia

All competitions

Jacuipense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceilandia win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Jacuipense has a probability of 33.61% and a draw has a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceilandia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Jacuipense win is 0-1 (10.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.03%).

Result

Ceilandia 38.29% (+3.66)
Draw 28.1%
Jacuipense 33.61% (-3.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.35% (+1.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.95% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 33.05% (-1.54)
Over 2.5 41.33% (+1.70)
Under 2.5 58.67% (-1.70)
Over 3.5 21.48% (+1.65)
Under 3.5 78.52% (-1.65)
Over 4.5 11.38% (+1.15)
Under 4.5 88.62% (-1.15)

First Half Winner

Ceilandia 29.78% (+2.75)
Draw 45.09% (-1.47)
Jacuipense 25.12% (-1.28)

Team To Score First

Ceilandia 47.65% (+2.94)
No Goal 10.3% (-0.67)
Jacuipense 42.05% (-2.29)

Corners

Over 8 51.66% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.58% (-0.09)
Under 8 36.75% (-0.11)
Over 9 40.41% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.06)
Under 9 48.34% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 30.32% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 69.68% (-0.25)

Ceilandia Goals

Over 1.5 32.47% (+3.81)
Under 1.5 67.53% (-3.82)
Over 2.5 11.49% (+2.21)
Under 2.5 88.51% (-2.20)
Over 3.5 3.72% (+0.95)
Under 3.5 96.28% (-0.94)

Jacuipense Goals

Over 0.5 63.9% (-1.97)
Under 0.5 36.1% (+1.97)
Over 1.5 30.03% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 69.97% (+1.35)
Over 2.5 11.1% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 88.9% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 3.37% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 96.63% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Ceilandia 38.3%
Draw 28.12%
Jacuipense 33.6%
Ceilandia
1-0 @ 12.7% (+0.61)
2-1 @ 7.73% (+0.43)
2-0 @ 6.9% (+0.67)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 2.51% (+0.47)
3-2 @ 1.71% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.71% (+0.94)
Total : 38.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.3% (-0.67)
2-2 @ 4.27% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.12%
Jacuipense
0-1 @ 10.07% (-1.42)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.91)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.42)
2-3 @ 2.08% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.36% (-0.42)
Total : 33.6%