Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jacuipense win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Novorizontino had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jacuipense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Novorizontino win was 0-1 (10.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.