Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Novorizontino win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Mixto had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Novorizontino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Mixto win was 1-0 (11.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.